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#polls

23 posts10 participants0 posts today

Interesting end to the 2nd week of #elxn45 with 338canada showing 3 ridings in Ontario flipping to NDP along with 3 in Manitoba. There are a few on the edge in BC as well.

This aligns with the NDP uptick from bumping around down to 6% to now recovering a couple points.

The Liberals and Conservatives may be coming together but too early to tell.

The graph now only includes the “A” rated polls in 338s list. It makes the graph a little less noisy.

I still find it hard to believe that the projections from 338canada (and others) will hold on the Island.

I realize electoral outcomes can and do shift over long periods, but I refuse to believe that, for example, people on the North Island and Powell River will elect this racist fool, Aaron Gunn. He has had that distinction for years because of his consistent denial of residential school genocide.

338 has the CPC a full 10 points above its 2021 outcome, and the NDP 13 below. It beggars belief. The Liberals are not viable here and I have more faith in the electorate than the numbers show.

WE REASONABLE PEOPLE NEED TO MAKE SURE THESE RACIST CANDIDATES DON’T SUCCEED.

VOTE!

cbc.ca/news/indigenous/aaron-g
#cdnpoli #canpoli #elxn45 #polls #projections #firstnations #residentialschools

FWIW the DJIA has lost just under $1.9 trillion in market capitalization since #Trump took office. I suspect his tariffs will shave another few dollars off of the top. Pretty soon we'll be talking 'real money'.

Market Cap LossCurrent Market Cap=$62.2trillion×0.03=$1.866trillion=$62.2trillion−$1.866trillion=$60.334trillion

#Crisis#Tariffs#USA

#politics #trump #immigration #polls #alt
From Josh Marshall
This observation from Adam Carlson is one of the most clarifying I've seen about the standing of the White House. The President's approval is down significantly across a variety of metrics but that decline is being significantly muted by relatively strong approval on border/immigration.

[Rascism and cruelty is alive and well in America]